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Product log · not a performance track record

What we've flagged

Last updated: July 19, 2026

This is an internal-style product log: geo flags we treat as primary in the demo, model boundaries we enforced, and features that shipped with honest labeling. It is not an audited performance track record, not trade calls, and not backtested event studies.

Honesty rule: When we have licensed history and real event-study ranges, those belong on a methodology page — not invented win rates here.
  1. Activeevent: us-china-trade

    GLD US–China geo was inheriting Semiconductors −7%

    What we surfaced: Direct-listed GLD fell through to affected[0] (Semiconductors −7%) while stress us-china-tensions correctly shocks GLD +3% as a hedge. Fixed: direct holdings resolve to matching commodity/sector rows; Gold catalog row set to +3 to match stress.

    What we are not claiming: Not claiming gold always rallies on China tariff headlines — modeled safe-haven assumption for education, same sign as the stress layer.

  2. Activeevent: us-china-trade

    Demo geo table — US–China scenario math only

    What we surfaced: /demo expands exposure rows for US–China only. Middle East, OPEC+, EU tech, and Election appear as a monitoring teaser without scenario %. Book stress remains US–China only. Signed-in Edge keeps the full multi-event table.

    What we are not claiming: Not claiming demo hides those events from the product — only that we do not show peer scenario precision for catalysts the walkthrough never explains.

  3. Activeevent: us-china-trade

    US–China Trade Friction — demo golden-path anchor

    What we surfaced: Public /demo walkthrough uses this event as the single book-level stress scenario (us-china-tensions). Sample book exposure highlights QQQ/NVDA (direct + index) and SPY look-through; GLD/XLE treated as secondary for this narrative.

    What we are not claiming: Not claiming the market will move −6% or that Scenario est. rows are forecasts. Stress output is a structured catalog shock on sample weights.

  4. Loggedevent: me-tensions

    Middle East / OPEC — exposure rows vs book stress (superseded)

    What we surfaced: Earlier demo showed Middle East and OPEC exposure rows (e.g. XLE scenario est.) while book stress was US–China only. Superseded 2026-07-19: those rows are teaser-only on /demo.

    What we are not claiming: Not claiming ME/OPEC book stress was run or validated as a second demo scenario.

  5. Product note

    Public /demo with ~$68k sample book

    What we surfaced: Anonymous visitors can complete headline → exposure → one stress output → sample analysis without signup. Sample book labeled throughout; live Today prices via quotes when FINNHUB_API_KEY is set.

    What we are not claiming: Not a performance track record of subscriber portfolios. Demo book is fixed sample holdings, not user money.

  6. Logged

    Watchlist suggested additions — holdings-personalized reasons

    What we surfaced: Suggestion copy cites held symbols, sector gaps, and concentration — tech vs energy books differ. Empty book shows honest “Macro regime add” rather than fake personalization.

    What we are not claiming: Not stock picks or buy/sell recommendations. Gap candidates are educational monitoring ideas only.

  7. Active

    Morning geo email — Edge+ with real holdings

    What we surfaced: Cron briefing for Edge/Conviction subscribers with cloud US holdings: top geo flag, vulnerability channel, verified Watch today calendar — LLM synthesis optional and number-locked.

    What we are not claiming: Email is not trade alerts. Watch today dates come from verified calendar code paths, not invented by the model.

Related: How scoring works · Live demo · Not investment advice